Bitcoin: Two Things Needed Before It Can Break $72,000

Bitcoin: Two Things Needed Before It Can Break $72,000

Bitcoin prices have not changed significantly at spot rates, but market participants are skeptical about the upward trend following the unexpected drop on June 11. Despite the progress made on June 12, Bitcoin is still stable at the moment, which means that it is currently hovering above $67,000 and experiencing a decline.

Nevertheless, even at this stage, there are some concerns because the coin, despite widespread optimism, is still trading below $72,000. This is the reason for the majority of the concerns. During the liquidation process, this reaction line quickly becomes an essential area. In the event that Bitcoin was to break, it has the potential to kick off a surge of short liquidation, which would propel the price of Bitcoin to $74,000 or even higher.

Could Bitcoin Witness a Surge in Demand in Spot Markets?

An on-chain analyst has stated that Bitcoin appears to be stuck at levels below $72,000 because hedge funds are experiencing a shortage of futures contracts.

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In spite of the fact that this pattern has been well-known for some time, hedge funds have significantly increased their short positions on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) for Bitcoin by more than one billion dollars in just the past week.

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According to the analyst’s assessment, two essential actions must be taken to mitigate the impact and strengthen prices. Hedge funds are employing a sophisticated arbitrage strategy to hedge their positions, and coin holders should focus on the fundamentals that lie beneath the surface. This is despite the fact that the shorting of Bitcoin on the CME does not necessarily indicate a bearish outlook.


Top 5 Cryptocurrencies Today:

Name Price24H (%)
Bitcoin (BTC)
$29,078.00
-3.19%
Ethereum (ETH)
$1,948.11
-4.71%
Tether (USDT)
$1.00
-0.03%
BNB (BNB)
$295.60
-1.51%
Cardano (ADA)
$0.51
-10.30%

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Hedge funds are currently utilizing a strategy that involves purchasing Bitcoin on the spot market and taking short positions on Bitcoin futures through the Capital Markets Exchange (CME). According to the analyst, for the coin to overcome $72,000 and reach $74,000, users will need to purchase a minimum of twice the quantity of Bitcoin futures that have been shorted in the spot market. This understanding of the market dynamics can empower coin holders and investors.

Bitcoin Prices Need to Decline for Short Sellers to Exit

If there is no motivation to raise spot prices, then Bitcoin prices will inevitably decline. Decreasing prices will motivate short sellers, specifically hedge funds, to close their positions to avoid ongoing payment of funding rates. During a market downturn, when futures prices start to decline, individuals who engage in short selling are required to compensate those who hold long positions in order to prevent the index from straying from its intended value.

While it remains uncertain if there will be an increase in demand in the spot market, one thing is clear-there is a significant level of institutional interest in Bitcoin. This interest, as demonstrated by hedge funds’ use of CME for arbitrage trading, is driven by the desire to generate profits, irrespective of price fluctuations. This institutional interest can provide a sense of stability and potential for growth in the market.

The analyst also presented an additional chart to strengthen the optimistic perspective. The trader utilized the “Growth Rate” metric to assess variations in Bitcoin’s market and realized cap.

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At present, the metric stands at approximately 0.001, significantly lower than 0.002, indicating a strong possibility of the market being overheated. There are indications that bulls could be gearing up for a resurgence.

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